It's the biggest and clearest sign yet: China is a giant bubble waiting to burst. With Europe in the spotlight, few are thinking about China these days. And when China does come up, it is typecast as the wealthy uncle with deep pockets -- the one player rich enough to help keep Europe afloat. (We saw that earlier this week, on hopes that China would buy Italian debt.) China itself, though, is in the grip of a dangerous bubble, complete with "ghost cities," infrastructure overload, Ponzi finance schemes and the potential for trillions in bad bank loans. China's finances are very opaque -- and deliberately hidden from the public. It is hard to see from the outside in. This can make it hard to determine just how far things have gone in the bubble department. But there are clues, just as there were with Japan's monster bubble in the late 1980s.

If you'll remember: For a window of time, Japan was going to dominate America and take over the world. The Japanese way of doing business was considered superior, unstoppable even, in comparison to the weaker Western way. At one point -- the peak of the frenzy -- the ground under Japan's imperial palace in Tokyo was deemed more valuable than all the real estate in California. Anecdotes like that one, amid other tales of mind-blowing excess, marked a multidecade top. So what is the comparable China bubble sign? Take a look at the building below (click to enlarge)... View larger chart What is it? One could be forgiven for thinking the Palace of Versailles... or British Parliament... or some grand old Austrian estate dating back to the Habsburg Empire. The source will be revealed in a moment.

But first, below see two shots of the building's interior -- which is, if anything, more elaborate than the outside... OK, enough of the suspense. So what is this place? Some powerful new government ministry? A cultural center? A seven-star hotel to rival the Burj Al Arab in Dubai? No. It's a Chinese pharmaceutical plant. As in, a factory that makes pills... The images come from ChinaSmack, a website that translates and reports popular Chinese news and trends. Via Chinese television anchor Li Xiaoming -- as translated by ChinaSmack -- we get the following: Initial reaction, Harbin Pharmaceuticals Six is a state-owned enterprise... It is said that state-owned enterprises are the people's enterprises, so the people should know how the enterprises' money is used. This "palace," would the people be delighted to see it?

It does look like a beautiful place to work: The trouble with this sort of thing is, one rarely gets "a little bit of excess." Wasteful spending tends first to come in trickles, then in floods -- especially when funded by gushers of cheap capital. And with a plain-Jane pharmaceuticals outfit -- a pill factory no less -- pushing such limits, one can only wonder what the other SOEs have done with their cash. China's "command and control" approach to keeping up employment and maintaining the boom involved staggering sums of lending from the state-controlled banks.

When determined bureaucrats push loans out the door on a quota -- to the tune of trillions no less -- the development of "palaces" (or other boondoggles) is not such a stretch. It would be a stretch, however, to think China can get through its self-created real estate and finance bubbles unscathed. As with invincible Japan in the 1980s and crack-up Japan post-1990, there is the initial perception and the aftermath. We may shake our heads over many more tales like Harbin's after the smoke clears.  

 Friday was a momentous day for the grand currency experiment known as the euro. Two explosive pieces of news, both relating to Germany, hit the forex markets hard (and sent the euro tumbling lower). Equities were slammed again too -- on Friday afternoon, the Dow is down 300 points as I write. Europe's problems are the world's problems now. The first shock development, broken by Reuters, was a high-level resignation at the European Central Bank (ECB). Juergen Stark, the "top German official" at the ECB, confirmed he would leave his post before the end of the year. Stark's departure would come almost three years before his official term expires (May 2014). And his reason for leaving?

A disagreement over "euro bonds" -- the printing press crisis solution in which Europe binds itself together financially, by way of the German checkbook. The new uncertainty sent the euro plummeting.   We have written at length about euro bonds in these pages, and the need for a drastic solution to the sovereign debt crisis. In declaring "Europe must become like the U.S.," we were ahead of the curve, with numerous highly placed officials, including former German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, talking about a "United States of Europe" not long afterward. That piece stirred up some anger, however, leading to "Germany's Terrible Choice" -- a clarification of the fact that Germany must either "embrace the euro fully and pay its neighbors' bills, or break up the currency to catastrophic near-term result." In other words: Federalization and monetization (via euro bonds) is not the only way to go.

Adopting a more unified monetary regime does not have to be Europe's destiny. But it is the only way to avoid mayhem in the here and now. UBS, a large investment bank, has even warned of trade collapse, domestic banking collapse, and the threat of civil war as a possible cost of break-up. The second piece of news to hit Friday, fueling a record rise in credit-default-swap values, was Chancellor Angela Merkel's plan to "shore up German banks" in the event that Greece defaults. Via Bloomberg: The emergency plan involves measures to help [German] banks and insurers that face a possible 50 percent loss on their Greek bonds if the next tranche of Greece's bailout is withheld, said the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the deliberations are being held in private. "The euro cannot be allowed to fail, it won't fail," says Chancellor Merkel. Yet behind closed doors, that possibility is being considered.

There is no telling where a Greek default might lead -- and confirmation of such could be possible by the time you read this. Macro Trader subscribers were given the green light to short the euro early last week (before the major meltdown happened). The euro has been stuck in a congested range against the $USD since May 2011," we wrote. "We have been standing aside waiting for that range to end, and now there are signs of resolution." So what happens next? The smart money is still on some form of printing press outcome, in which the European Central Bank gives up its "hard money" ways and takes a page from the Federal Reserve. The Swiss tried to shoulder the pain of a too-strong currency, but eventually threw in the towel.

The European Central Bank likewise hates inflation, but they may hate the prospect of a 1931 Credit-Anstalt-style financial collapse even more. A banking meltdown and the threat of eurozone depression cannot be written off. All of this suggests the "core" countries will be dragged, kicking and screaming, to the forced embrace of a printing press solution... to the long-run result of a much lower euro.  

 It is not what they say, but how they say it. We've translated the latest musings from the Federal Reserve.

When I was in my early 20s, I worked in the Far East. Part of my job was to take Japanese business material and write it in a way to make it be more palatable to English speakers.

My title was that of translator. As inflated as that description is, what I really did was learn how to convey meaning without ever using the English language in a precise way.

My Asian boss explained that it was all very "Japanese." He explained that using direct language was fine in technical manuals, but everything else needed to be very opaque.

Read more: Translated: The Secret Language of the Federal Reserve

 A frequent reader of mine wrote in with a question. He asks:

With the latest drop in the equity market, presumably because of the U.S. debit, why doesn't the Federal Reserve sell off some of its gold reserves? I understand that it has +/- 7,000 tonnes in stock. Could it not also settle its debts with China where the demand for gold is on the rise?

Am I correct in saying that everyone who is reputed to be in gold decided to sell at the same time there is not enough gold in stock to meet all the claims?

Didn't that happen some years ago when a person tried to buy up all the silver in the world?

Read more: Gold Prices at $1,800: You Ain't Seen Nothing Yet...

 The credit downgrade and debt ceiling aftermath highlight a much more serious problem -- a jobs and wages problem -- that Mr. Market is finally waking up to.

It's been a violent week on both sides of the Atlantic.

In the United Kingdom, rioters are looting shops and causing mayhem seemingly at random. The worst is in London, but has since spread to five major UK cities. Two Croydon women, who had been drinking all night, told a BBC reporter it was about showing police and "the rich" that "we can do what we want."

On the finance side, violence has come in the form of cratering markets.

Read more: Mr. Market Wakes Up to the Jobs and Wages Problem