Shoe Carnival Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2011 Results

Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ: SCVL - News), a leading retailer of value-priced footwear and accessories, today announced net sales and earnings for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended January 28, 2012.

Fourth Quarter Results
Net sales for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011 increased 1.1 percent to $181.9 million compared to net sales of $179.9 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2010. Comparable store sales decreased 3.0 percent in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011.

Net earnings for the fourth quarter were $3.3 million or $0.24 per diluted share, as compared to net earnings of $4.4 million or $0.33 per diluted share for the fourth quarter last year.

The gross profit margin for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011 decreased to 28.3 percent from 30.0 percent in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2010. The merchandise margin decreased 1.5 percent, while buying, distribution and occupancy costs increased 0.2 percent, as a percentage of sales.

Selling, general and administrative expenses for the fourth quarter decreased $463,000 to $46.6 million. As a percentage of sales, these expenses decreased 0.6 percent as compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2010.

Speaking on the results, Mark Lemond, president and chief executive officer, said, “Our fourth quarter sales results were in line with our revised guidance of $181 to $182 million issued early in January. However, we exceeded the high end of our earnings guidance of $0.23 per share by $0.01. Consumer demand for fall footwear, particularly boots, declined significantly as a result of the unseasonably warm weather. Consequently, heavy promotional activity was required during the fourth quarter to effectively sell through this inventory, thus reducing our sales and merchandise margin. The decline in comparable store sales of three percent and the 150 basis point decline in the merchandise margin were attributed to the sales and margin decline in the boot category.”

Fiscal 2011 Results

Net sales increased 3.2 percent to $762.5 million for fiscal 2011, compared to net sales of $739.2 million for fiscal 2010. Comparable store sales increased 0.7 percent in fiscal 2011. Net earnings for fiscal 2011 were $26.4 million, or $1.97 per diluted share, compared to net earnings of $26.8 million, or $2.05 per diluted share in the prior year. The gross profit margin for fiscal 2011 decreased to 29.5 percent from 30.0 percent last year. Selling, general and administrative expenses, as a percentage of sales, were 24.0 percent for fiscal 2011, as compared to 24.3 percent for the prior year.

Mr. Lemond continued, “We experienced significant fluctuations in consumer demand during 2011, as compared to 2010 when strong fashion trends aided us in setting record-breaking sales and earnings results. While toning footwear and boots were key drivers of our sales for 2010, sales of this footwear declined substantially in 2011. Toning footwear experienced a yearlong decline in popularity while the sale of fall product never materialized with the same strength as last year. However, I am very pleased with our ability to manage our inventories and control our costs despite the challenges presented by these changes in consumer demand. We achieved $1.97 in earnings per diluted share for 2011, which is second only to the record $2.05 in earnings per diluted share achieved last year.”

Mr. Lemond concluded, “We are excited about our growth opportunities as we move into 2012, despite certain continued economic headwinds. We expect to open approximately 30 new stores with over one-third of these stores located in two new major markets – the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex and Puerto Rico. These new major markets, coupled with our new e-commerce site launched in the third quarter of 2011, offer Shoe Carnival an opportunity to realize significant additional exposure for our brand.”

First Quarter Fiscal 2012 EPS Outlook

Earnings per diluted share in the first quarter of fiscal 2012 are expected to be in the range of $0.75 to $0.78. This increase assumes net sales in the range of $219 to $222 million with a comparable store sales increase of 5.5 to 7.0 percent. In the first quarter of fiscal 2011, comparable store sales increased 3.4 percent and earnings per diluted share were $0.75. Included in the Company’s first quarter of 2012 earnings guidance is an increase in pre-opening costs, including pre-opening rent expense, of $1.3 million, or $0.06 per diluted share. This is due to the acceleration of store openings in the first quarter of fiscal 2012 (13 store openings compared to four in the first quarter of last year).

Store Growth

During fiscal 2011, the Company opened 17 new stores and closed four stores to end the year at 327 stores. One store was opened in the fourth quarter and one was closed. Total retail selling space increased to 3.6 million square feet from 3.4 million square feet at the end of fiscal 2010.

Store openings and closings by quarter and for the fiscal year are as follows:
 
          New Stores           Store Closings
1st Quarter 2011
        4         0
2nd Quarter 2011         5         2
3rd Quarter 2011         7         1
4th Quarter 2011
        1         1
Fiscal 2011         17         4
 

In fiscal 2012, the Company expects to open approximately 30 new stores, relocate ten stores and close five stores. The Company has completed the store openings and closings for the first quarter of fiscal 2012 with the opening of 13 new stores, relocating two stores and closing three. This includes the grand opening of six stores in the Dallas/Fort Worth market and one store in El Paso, Texas on March 16, 2012. In the first quarter of last year, four stores were opened, five stores were relocated and none were closed.

Conference Call

Today, at 4:30 p.m. Eastern time, the Company will host a conference call to discuss the fourth quarter results. The public can listen to the live webcast of the call by visiting Shoe Carnival’s Investor Relations page at www.shoecarnival.com. While the question-and-answer session will be available to all listeners, questions from the audience will be limited to institutional analysts and investors. A replay of the webcast will be available on our website beginning approximately two hours after the conclusion of the conference call and will be archived for one year.

About Shoe Carnival

Shoe Carnival, Inc. is one of the nation’s largest family footwear retailers, offering a broad assortment of moderately priced dress, casual and athletic footwear for men, women and children with emphasis on national and regional name brands. As of March 21, 2012, the Company operates 337 stores in 32 states and offers online shopping at www.shoecarnival.com. Headquartered in Evansville, IN, Shoe Carnival trades on The NASDAQ Stock Market LLC under the symbol SCVL. Shoe Carnival’s press releases and annual report are available on the Company’s website at www.shoecarnival.com.

Record Date and Date of Annual Shareholder Meeting

The Company also announced that April 13, 2012 has been set as the shareholder of record date and the Annual Meeting of Shareholders will be held on June 14, 2012.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information

This press release contains forward-looking statements, within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause our actual results, performance, achievements or industry results to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions in the areas of the United States in which our stores are located; the effects and duration of economic downturns and unemployment rates; changes in the overall retail environment and more specifically in the apparel and footwear retail sectors; our ability to generate increased sales at our stores; the potential impact of national and international security concerns on the retail environment; changes in our relationships with key suppliers; the impact of competition and pricing; changes in weather patterns, consumer buying trends and our ability to identify and respond to emerging fashion trends; the impact of disruptions in our distribution or information technology operations; the effectiveness of our inventory management; the impact of hurricanes or other natural disasters on our stores, as well as on consumer confidence and purchasing in general; risks associated with the seasonality of the retail industry; our ability to successfully execute our growth strategy, including the availability of desirable store locations at acceptable lease terms, our ability to open new stores in a timely and profitable manner, including our entry into major new markets, and the availability of sufficient funds to implement our growth plans; higher than anticipated costs associated with the closing of underperforming stores; our ability to successfully grow our e-commerce business; the inability of manufacturers to deliver products in a timely manner; changes in the political and economic environments in China, Brazil, Europe and East Asia, where the primary manufacturers of footwear are located; the impact of regulatory changes in the United States and the countries where our manufacturers are located; and the continued favorable trade relations between the United States and China and the other countries which are the major manufacturers of footwear.

In addition, these forward-looking statements necessarily depend upon assumptions, estimates and dates that may be incorrect or imprecise and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors. Accordingly, any forward-looking statements included in this press release do not purport to be predictions of future events or circumstances and may not be realized. Forward-looking statements can be identified by, among other things, the use of forward-looking terms such as “believes,” “expects,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “pro forma,” “anticipates,” “intends” or the negative of any of these terms, or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy or intentions. Given these uncertainties, we caution investors not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. We disclaim any obligation to update any of these factors or to publicly announce any revisions to the forward-looking statements contained in this press release to reflect future events or developments.
 
SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
(In thousands, except per share)
 
          Thirteen           Thirteen           Fifty-two           Fifty-two
        Weeks Ended         Weeks Ended         Weeks Ended         Weeks Ended
        January 28,         January 29,         January 28,         January 29,
        2012         2011         2012         2011
                               
 
Net sales         $     181,940             $     179,895             $     762,534             $     739,189    
Cost of sales (including buying, distribution and occupancy costs)
              130,375                     125,885                     537,681                     517,650      
                                 
Gross profit             51,565                 54,010                 224,853                 221,539    
                                             
Selling, general and administrative expenses
              46,556                     47,019                     182,716                     179,154      
                                 
Operating income             5,009                 6,991                 42,137                 42,385    
Interest income             (13     )             (86     )             (79     )             (165     )
Interest expense               66                     62                     266                     258      
                                 
Income before income taxes             4,956                 7,015                 41,950                 42,292    
Income tax expense               1,681                     2,655                     15,568                     15,471      
                                 
Net income         $     3,275               $     4,360               $     26,382               $     26,821      
                                 
Net income per share:                                
Basic         $     0.24               $     0.34               $     1.98               $     2.11      
Diluted         $     0.24               $     0.33               $     1.97               $     2.05      
 
 
SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(In thousands)
         
 
         
 
       
        January 28,         January 29,
        2012         2011
ASSETS
Current Assets:                
Cash and cash equivalents         $     70,602         $     60,193
Accounts receivable             2,621             1,550
Merchandise inventories             237,655             212,929
Deferred income tax benefit             2,496             4,275
Other               2,887               2,407
Total Current Assets             316,261             281,354
Property and equipment-net             69,232             62,391
Other               1,069               1,400
Total Assets         $     386,562         $     345,145
                 
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Current Liabilities:                
Accounts payable         $     61,238         $     55,219
Accrued and other liabilities               14,522               15,457
Total Current Liabilities             75,760             70,676
Deferred lease incentives             12,964             8,211
Accrued rent             6,029             5,082
Deferred income taxes             1,930             669
Deferred compensation             6,054             4,907
Other               141               1,257
Total Liabilities             102,878             90,802
Total Shareholders' Equity               283,684               254,343
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity         $     386,562         $     345,145
 
 
SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(In thousands)
 
         
Fifty-two
         
Fifty-two
       
Weeks Ended
       
Weeks Ended
       
January 28, 2012
       
January 29, 2011
                 
Cash flows from operating activities:                
Net income         $     26,382             $     26,821    
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
               
Depreciation and amortization             14,450                 13,735    
Stock-based compensation             2,135                 5,468    
Loss on retirement and impairment of assets             666                 1,995    
Deferred income taxes             3,040                 (1,403     )
Lease incentives             5,903                 2,974    
Other             (810     )             (827     )
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:                
Accounts receivable             (971     )             (804     )
Merchandise inventories             (24,726     )             (15,477     )
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities             3,960                 (2,669     )
Other               846                     (390     )
                 
Net cash provided by operating activities               30,875                     29,423      
                 
Cash flows from investing activities:                
Purchases of property and equipment             (21,260     )             (14,412     )
Proceeds from sale of property and equipment             5                 312    
Proceeds from note receivable               100                     100      
                 
Net cash used in investing activities               (21,155     )               (14,000     )
                 
Cash flows from financing activities:                
Borrowings under line of credit             0                 0    
Payments on line of credit             0                 0    
Proceeds from issuance of stock             2,654                 738    
Excess tax benefits from stock-based compensation             1,254                 520    
Common stock repurchased               (3,219     )               (656     )
                 
Net cash provided by financing activities               689                     602      
                 
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents             10,409                 16,025    
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year               60,193                     44,168      
                 
Cash and Cash Equivalents at End of Year         $     70,602               $     60,193      
 

Contact:
Shoe Carnival, Inc.
Mark L. Lemond
President and Chief Executive Officer
or
W. Kerry Jackson
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
812-867-6471
www.shoecarnival.com