There is a spreading believe currently that the worst of the crisis is over after the recent earning reports of the first quarter last month which referred to an ability of making profits again and improving of the consuming sentiment in US but the jobs shrugging off is still on for drawing down the costs and shrinking the activities for meeting demand can spur growth back again which can cause a second round effect and also the huge amount of the toxic assets is still existing in the balance sheets of the banking sector which can exceed 4 trillion$ as the recent evaluation by the IMF and it is well known to the market that these toxic assets have been actually underestimated by about 20% because of the FASB changing of the accounting rules and from another side the deflation risks are uprising which show a current capping of spending over the producing level or the consuming level which effected negatively on the gold last week after the releases of US PPI of March which came lower than the market expectations of -2.2% yearly and 0% m/m at -3.5%y/y and 1.2% monthly and US CPI broad figure of this same month which came down by .1% monthly and .4% yearly ensuring the deflation pressure.
- Published: 20 April 2009
- Written by Editor