The market has seen the ECB worries about the single currency strength in Trichet press conference after the ECB decision to leave the interest rate unchanged at 1% giving a stronger evaluation of the current conditions than last meeting when he said clearly that Prudence and caution are of the essence in the present situation. He has just referred to the need of the current easing steps of the ECB as there is no realized inflation pressure yet referring to the new signs of improving in the banking and the financial sectors as the recent stress banking test said that even if the economy took another turn for the worse there will be no major European institutional falling. The single currency has suffered after his talking in spite of the current market optimism which weighing on the greenback.

Read more: 10/8/2009 - The Current Market Sentiment

The greenback has lost ground versus the British pound which has been bounced back up after the release of the CBI retail sales figure of September which came up in an unexpected way at 3 while the market was waiting for just -14 from -16 in August. The cable has formed a higher low at 1.5825 and it is now testing 1.60. The cable has made previously in the beginning of this week a new low below 1.58 at 1.577 after a dovish closing last week below 1.60.

Read more: 9/29/2009 - The Current Market Sentiment

The greenback could keep its gains at the closing of last week amid a profit taken wave in the equities markets. The greenback has driven the gold down breaking 1000$ psychological level triggering stop loses orders under it and the gold could close hardly at 988$. The pressure on the gold has started last week after the Fed's decision to keep the interest rate unchanged extending its MBS program to the 1Q of 2010 from 4Q 2009 as it has been downplaying the inflation upside risks in the near term. The Fed's assessment have shown inherited to the inventors its current existing worries about the unemployment and the solidity of the recovery which weighed negatively on the US stocks by the end of the week pushing the commodities and the energy prices down and the gold prices as well as a mirror of the inflation. The US stocks could not get use of the US UN.

Read more: 9/28/2009 - The Current Market Sentiment

The British pound has found support today from the release of the MPC recent meeting minutes which have shown that the decision of holding the buying bonds plan unchanged at 175 Bln Stg was unanimously an unanimous. The sterling was under pressure in the beginning of this week before finding support above 1.61 versus the greenback negatively impacted by the recent comments of the BOE president Marvin king in front of the parliamentary committee last week when he said that further deposit interest rate cut might be a useful supplement and the market was waiting to have a hint in these minutes release to a probability of cutting the interest rate further in UK but the minutes have surprised the market with no reference to this probability and holding the BOE plan unchanged with no adding by an unanimous decision.

Read more: 9/23/2009 - The Current Market Sentiment

The sterling is still under the pressure of BOE president Marvin king in front of the parliamentary committee who said yesterday that further deposit interest rate cut might be a useful supplement. The market has sold the British pound off after this dovish comment which lowered the current market discounting of the interest rate outlook in UK. King was one among 3 opposing voting members of the MPC meeting in July of adding just 50bln Stg to the buying bonds plan suggesting adding 75bln Stg referring to the possibility of public confidence damage in the recovery which can flatter it suggesting that the inflation could be under the BOE target for a sustained period.

Read more: 9/16/2009 - The Current Market Sentiment